A boundary will sag into east central Florida during the day Thursday, bringing only limited moisture. Low chances of light showers are expected mainly in the afternoon and early evening, with the highest odds near the river. A slight chance of coastal showers may linger into late evening.
Small chances continue on Friday, focused near the coast as the front and moisture stick around. The front weakens and becomes diffuse late Friday.
Light onshore flow persists into Saturday, keeping a low chance of showers along the coast in the afternoon. These should weaken quickly inland.
Models are showing differences on the next system arriving late Sunday. A strong upper trough will move eastward, pushing a surface cold front toward the region. Timing of the front is still uncertain, so broad chances are in place for Sunday. Better agreement should come in future runs. A slight chance of thunderstorms is possible Sunday afternoon.
2/11/2026 Update

Richmond (Cup, Feb 1990) — 31°F

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