RACE WEEKEND WEATHER DISCUSSION
Area Forecast
Low pressure moves east across the deep South on Sunday. Most areas stay dry through early afternoon, with a 30% chance of isolated showers developing in some southern and eastern spots.
Look to the northwest a band of storms will move east across the Panhandle and the eastern Gulf ahead of a cold front. Widespread showers and a few storms with lightning (70-90% coverage) develop in northern and western areas early Sunday evening (after 6 pm), then spread southeast through the night.
Even though instability is low overall, strong upper-level forcing from a potent shortwave trough crossing the area will bring a risk of strong to marginally severe storms, mainly across northern portions during the evening. The band of showers and storms should weaken as it moves farther south overnight.
2/15/2026 Update
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