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High pressure moves offshore from the southeast U.S. and into the western Atlantic on Saturday. A moisture boundary wraps around the western side of this high, setting up north-south across the local Atlantic waters. Isolated showers stay mostly over the waters, but some onshore flow brings low rain chances (around 20%) along the immediate coast on Saturday, mainly from the Cape southward.

Winds turn breezy from the south on Sunday as the next cold front approaches central Florida. Model guidance shows some differences in when the front will move through, but the earliest scenarios put the highest rain chances (70-90%) after sunset Sunday and continuing through the overnight hours. Rain chances ahead of the front during Sunday daytime are lower confidence and likely stay limited (possibly 20-40% in the warm air mass). The heaviest rain is expected to fall across central Florida overnight Sunday into early Monday, though amounts at the middle of the guidance remain under a half inch.

Rain chances continue Monday morning with moderate confidence, but how long they last through the daytime Monday is less certain and will depend on the front's speed and timing. The current forecast keeps rain chances around 40-60% during the day Monday. Overall, the storm setup ahead of and along the front remains limited, with only modest wind shear.

2/13/2026 Update

Richmond (Cup, Feb 1990) — 31°F

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